Labour Overtakes Reform UK in Polls as Burnham Gains Momentum 2026

Labour has overtaken Reform UK in a voter intention poll for the first time in over a year, as Andy Burnham builds momentum from his first week as prime minister. The latest survey marks a significant shift in UK political dynamics, with Labour gaining ground ahead of key budget decisions.

Labour Surges Ahead of Reform UK: What the Poll Means

The new poll shows Labour leading Reform UK by a narrow but symbolic margin, ending a prolonged period where Nigel Farage’s party had held the advantage. Political analysts point to Burnham’s early moves on social care reform and housing policy as key drivers.

Andy Burnham has indicated he won’t abolish stamp duty in the upcoming budget, a decision that has drawn mixed reactions from housing advocates. He also reiterated his commitment to finding common ground with the Conservatives on social care funding.

Social Care Reform: Cross-Party Hopes and Obstacles

Burnham has not given up on bipartisan cooperation for social care reform. Both Lib Dem leader Ed Davey and Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch have expressed openness, though Badenoch’s conditions suggest potential opposition. A key sticking point remains how to fund long-term care without imposing a so-called “death tax”.

Stamp Duty Stance and Budget Implications

During a pooled TV interview, Burnham sidestepped funding questions and instead focused on achieving consensus. The upcoming budget will be a critical test for his administration, with housing and social care at the forefront.

Key Takeaways from the Political Shift

• Labour overtakes Reform UK for the first time since Burnham became PM, signaling renewed voter confidence.
• Stamp duty will remain unchanged in the budget, disappointing some homebuyers.
• Social care reform remains a top priority, with cross-party talks expected to continue.
• Nigel Farage’s Reform UK faces increased pressure as the Clacton byelection approaches.

FAQ

As Burnham consolidates power, all eyes are on the budget and the Clacton byelection result. The coming weeks will determine whether Labour’s poll lead is a blip or a lasting trend.