President Donald Trump vowed to reduce prices on day one, but his policies have fueled US inflation instead. Two years after campaigning on affordability, many Americans are seeing higher costs for everyday goods, and a growing number disapprove of his handling of the economy.
According to recent polls, more than one in five Americans who voted for Trump now disapprove of his job performance. A Fox News poll this month found that 77% of Americans disapprove of how Trump has handled tariffs. These numbers suggest that the promise of lower prices has not been delivered.
Tariffs: A Tax on Imported Goods
Economists have long warned that tariffs are inflationary because they are a tax on imported goods. Trump, however, enthusiastically embraced tariffs during his second term. The “liberation day” tariffs he imposed soon after returning to office increased the price of hundreds of goods, including citrus fruits, steel, bananas, beef, and auto parts.
When the Supreme Court overturned those tariffs as illegal, Trump immediately imposed new 10% across-the-board tariffs. These again helped push up prices, even though a lower court found them unlawful too. Time and again, Trump has slapped on new tariffs despite their inherent effect on prices.
The result is a cycle of rising costs that directly contradicts his campaign promises. Consumers are feeling the pinch at the grocery store and the gas pump, and they are taking notice.
Energy Promises Fall Short
Candidate Trump pledged to slash “energy and electricity prices by half,” to get “gasoline below $2 a gallon,” and to bring down airfares. These promises resonated with voters struggling with the cost of living. But as president, Trump has done little to achieve these goals.
Instead, his war against Iran has contributed to higher energy prices. Military conflict in the Middle East often disrupts oil supplies, leading to higher fuel costs. This, in turn, drives up inflation across the economy, as transportation and production costs rise.
The combination of tariffs and war has created a perfect storm for inflation, undermining the very affordability agenda that Trump campaigned on.
Public Disapproval Grows
The Fox News poll showing 77% disapproval of Trump’s tariff handling is a stark indicator of public sentiment. Even among his own supporters, there is growing unease. More than one in five Trump voters now disapprove of his job performance, a significant shift from the overwhelming support he enjoyed during the campaign.
This discontent is likely to have political consequences. As prices continue to rise, voters may hold Trump accountable in future elections. The economy is consistently ranked as the top issue for Americans, and inflation is a key concern.
What This Means for Your Wallet
For the average American, the impact is clear: higher prices for everyday goods. Tariffs on imported items like citrus fruits and beef directly translate to higher grocery bills. Steel and auto parts tariffs increase the cost of cars and appliances. Energy prices remain volatile, and the war with Iran adds uncertainty.
Consumers can take some steps to mitigate the impact, such as budgeting carefully and seeking alternatives. But ultimately, policy decisions in Washington play a major role in determining the cost of living.
The Road Ahead
Looking forward, it remains to be seen whether Trump will adjust his policies or double down. His history suggests he may continue to use tariffs as a tool, despite their inflationary effects. The war with Iran also shows no signs of abating, which could keep energy prices elevated.
For now, Americans are left to grapple with the consequences of policies that have, so far, failed to deliver the promised relief. As the 2024 election approaches, inflation is likely to remain a central issue, and Trump’s record on prices will be under intense scrutiny.
In the end, the gap between campaign rhetoric and policy reality has real-world effects. Trump’s promise to reduce prices has not been met, and his policies have instead fueled inflation. This disconnect is not lost on voters, who are increasingly vocal in their disapproval.
FAQ
Did Trump’s tariffs cause inflation?
Yes, economists widely agree that tariffs are inflationary because they are a tax on imported goods. Trump’s tariffs on items like steel, citrus fruits, and auto parts have increased prices for consumers. Even after the Supreme Court overturned some tariffs, new ones were imposed, continuing to push up costs.
How do Trump’s policies affect energy prices?
Trump’s war against Iran has contributed to higher energy prices by disrupting oil supplies. This contradicts his campaign pledge to slash energy prices by half and bring gasoline below $2 a gallon. Higher energy costs also drive up inflation across the economy.
What percentage of Americans disapprove of Trump’s tariff handling?
A Fox News poll this month found that 77% of Americans disapprove of how Trump has handled tariffs. This includes a significant portion of his own supporters, with more than one in five Trump voters now disapproving of his overall job performance.
Will Trump change his policies to fight inflation?
It is uncertain. Trump has consistently embraced tariffs despite their inflationary effects, and the war with Iran continues. Given his history, he may double down rather than reverse course. However, growing public disapproval could influence future decisions.
As inflation continues to affect household budgets, understanding the root causes is essential. Trump’s tariffs and foreign policy decisions have played a significant role in driving up prices. For a deeper look at how these policies intersect with affordability, see our analysis of Trump’s economic policies: affordability and investment accounts.
The political fallout is also worth watching. Recent rallies have highlighted Trump economic policies facing affordability scrutiny, as voters question the effectiveness of his approach. Meanwhile, in Georgia, Trump scoffed at affordability concerns while touting his economic record, signaling a disconnect with everyday Americans.
Inflation is not just a US issue. The UK has also seen UK inflation hit 3.1% as motor fuel prices surge, partly due to global energy dynamics. Similarly, UK inflation hit 3.5% as war drives fuel prices higher, illustrating how conflicts like the one with Iran have far-reaching economic consequences. And when food and fuel prices fall, as in UK inflation dropping to 2.6% in June, it shows that relief is possible—but only with the right policies.