One Nation Migration Cut: 750,000 Fewer Migrants Impact 2026

One Nation's proposal to cut migration by 750,000 over three years has sparked fears for key industries, particularly aged care. The plan, announced by leader Pauline Hanson, aims to reduce temporary migrants by targeting international students and family members of skilled migrants. While One Nation argues it will ease pressure on housing and public services, critics warn it could cause sweeping damage to sectors already facing critical shortages.

What Is One Nation's Migration Plan?

One Nation says it will cut the number of temporary migrants in Australia by more than 750,000 over three years, returning temporary visa numbers to 2017 levels. The policy, described as "net-negative," would mean net overseas migration (NOM) totals just 130,000 under their plan. Hanson claims this will "reset" Australia's immigration system and help Australians struggling with housing and public services.

However, Labor has said it would cause sweeping damage to construction, health care, aged care, and disability sectors. The Liberals have cast doubt on whether any modelling underpinned the figure. The announcement comes as both major parties consider new cuts to overseas arrivals ahead of the next federal election.

Impact on Aged Care and Key Industries

The aged care sector is particularly vulnerable. With an aging population and existing workforce shortages, cutting migration could leave many elderly Australians without adequate care. Similarly, construction, health care, and disability sectors rely heavily on migrant workers to fill gaps that Australians cannot or will not fill.

Hanson argues that cutting migration will free up housing and reduce pressure on hospitals. But industry experts warn that without migrants, these sectors will struggle to function, leading to longer wait times, reduced services, and higher costs.

Comparing Migration Levels

As the table shows, One Nation's target is significantly lower than recent years. While 2017 levels were lower than today, they still supported key industries. Cutting to 130,000 could create severe labor shortages.

Key Takeaways

• One Nation plans to cut migration by 750,000 over three years, targeting international students and family members.
• The aged care sector fears devastating workforce shortages.
• Labor and the Liberals doubt the plan's feasibility and modelling.
• The policy aims to ease housing and public service pressures but may backfire.
• Upcoming elections in Victoria and federally make immigration a hot topic.

FAQ

As Australia approaches the next federal election, immigration policy will remain a contentious issue. One Nation's plan highlights the tension between reducing migration and maintaining essential services. The outcome will have far-reaching consequences for all Australians.

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