Yemen’s anti-Houthi forces have launched an inquest into their sudden military collapse, as Houthi rebels seized the entire west coast and dealt a severe blow to the UN-recognised government. The stunning rout, which saw more than 15 brigades defeated, has raised urgent questions about coordination, readiness, and morale among forces battling the Iran-backed Houthis.
Background of the Conflict
The Yemeni civil war, ongoing since 2014, pits the Houthi movement against a Saudi-led coalition supporting the internationally recognised government. The recent anti-Houthi offensive aimed at capturing Sana’a, the Houthi-held capital, was billed as a decisive assault. Instead, it collapsed into a chaotic retreat, with Houthi forces overrunning key territories along the west coast, including areas near the strategic Bab al-Mandab strait.
Anatomy of the Collapse
The scale of the defeat is staggering: as many as 30,000 well-equipped fighters retreated, abandoning positions that had been defended for years. The governor of Hadramaut, one of Yemen’s largest governorates, claimed that billions of dollars were offered to persuade forces to abandon their posts. While the source of the alleged payments remains unidentified, speculation has focused on the United Arab Emirates (UAE), which withdrew from Yemen in January but retains influence over the pro-government National Resistance Forces led by Tareq Saleh.
Key Factors Behind the Collapse
- Coordination failures: Poor communication and lack of unified command led to disorganised defences.
- Morale issues: Reports of unpaid salaries and war fatigue eroded fighting spirit.
- External interference: Allegations of bribes and shifting alliances undermined trust.
- Houthi tactics: The Houthis exploited divisions and launched swift, coordinated attacks.
Geopolitical Implications
The collapse has far-reaching consequences for regional stability and global security. The Bab al-Mandab strait, a chokepoint for global trade, is now more vulnerable to Houthi disruption. The UAE’s alleged role and its bitter relationship with Saudi Arabia add another layer of complexity. The UAE is reportedly frustrated with Saudi Arabia for forcing it out and for outlawing the separatist Southern Transitional Council (STC), a key UAE ally.
Reactions and Investigations
Yemeni Nobel Peace Prize winner Tawakkol Karman has called for an investigation into the collapse. Other politicians have demanded accountability, pointing fingers at both internal and external actors. The anti-Houthi forces are now attempting to reorganise to capture the Kahbob mountains, a strategic point to restrict Houthi movements toward Bab al-Mandab.
Economic and Humanitarian Impact
The military setback exacerbates Yemen’s humanitarian crisis, already the world’s worst. The west coast’s fall disrupts aid deliveries and threatens food security. Economically, the conflict continues to drain resources, with billions allegedly diverted to bribes instead of defence. The international community faces pressure to reassess its strategy and support accountability.
| Factor | Impact |
|---|---|
| Coordination failures | Disorganised defence, rapid retreat |
| Morale issues | Low fighting spirit, desertions |
| External interference | Alleged bribes, eroded trust |
| Houthi tactics | Swift advances, territorial gains |
What’s Next?
The anti-Houthi forces are regrouping to capture the Kahbob mountains, but the inquest’s findings could determine the future of the coalition. If allegations of bribery are proven, they could strain UAE-Saudi relations and further fragment the anti-Houthi front. Meanwhile, the Houthis are consolidating their grip on the west coast, raising the stakes for any future offensive.
FAQ
What caused the sudden military collapse of Yemen’s anti-Houthi forces?
The collapse is attributed to a combination of coordination failures, low morale, alleged external bribes, and effective Houthi tactics. The retreat of 30,000 fighters highlights deep systemic issues.
What role did the UAE play in the collapse?
The UAE is suspected of offering billions to persuade forces to abandon positions, though no evidence has been provided. The UAE’s past support for the National Resistance Forces and its tensions with Saudi Arabia fuel speculation.
What are the strategic implications of the west coast falling to the Houthis?
The Houthis now control territory near the Bab al-Mandab strait, a vital global shipping lane. This threatens international trade and allows the Houthis to project power further.