Iraq has stated it had no prior knowledge of the US-Saudi attacks targeting Houthi positions, a development that adds new complexity to the volatile Middle East situation. This article covers the latest shipping data, oil market reactions, and the fragile Gaza ceasefire talks.
Iraq's Official Stance and Regional Implications
Baghdad's denial comes amid heightened tensions, as the US and Saudi Arabia escalate military operations against Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthis. The Iraqi government emphasized its non-involvement, seeking to distance itself from the conflict while maintaining diplomatic ties with all parties.
Regional analysts suggest that Iraq's position is crucial, given its shared borders with both Saudi Arabia and Iran. The denial may be aimed at preventing further destabilization within Iraq, which has its own militia groups with ties to Tehran.
Shipping Traffic Through Key Straits

According to Kpler shipping data, 25 commodity vessels passed through the Bab el-Mandeb strait on Thursday, with 18 entering and 7 exiting. This is a significant increase from recent days, indicating some easing of the Houthi blockade threats. However, traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remains critically low, with only two tankers transiting, both in ballast.
The Houthis' announcement of a blockade against Saudi ships had pushed oil prices above $100 a barrel, but the latest figures suggest a partial resumption of flows. Still, the risk premium remains elevated, and shippers are wary of potential attacks.
| Strait | Vessels Transited | Direction | Oil Price Impact |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bab el-Mandeb | 25 | 18 in, 7 out | Moderate easing |
| Hormuz | 2 | Both in ballast | High risk premium |
Saudi Arabia's Planned Offensive
Yemeni sources indicate that Saudi Arabia is preparing a major military offensive against the Houthis, both by sea and possibly by land in central Yemen. This move aims to break the chokehold on Saudi oil exports through the southern Red Sea. The offensive could escalate the conflict significantly, drawing in more regional actors.
Military experts warn that a land campaign would be costly and prolonged, given the Houthis' experience in mountainous terrain. The sea operation, however, might focus on securing the Bab el-Mandeb strait, which is vital for global energy shipments.
Gaza Ceasefire Disputes

In parallel, Donald Trump has hailed a deal that involves Hamas disarming and Israel withdrawing from Gaza. However, both sides have exposed disputes over implementation. A key sticking point is the timing of disarmament—Hamas insists it will not disarm before Israel's withdrawal, while Israeli officials find the proposed terms unsatisfactory.
Ghazi Hamad, a Hamas negotiator, told Al Jazeera: "We will not take any action regarding disarmament prior to Israel's withdrawal from the Strip." This deadlock threatens the fragile ceasefire and could reignite hostilities.
Key Takeaways
- Iraq denies any prior knowledge of US-Saudi attacks on Houthis.
- Bab el-Mandeb traffic rebounds to 25 vessels, but Hormuz remains nearly closed.
- Saudi Arabia is gearing up for a major offensive against Houthi forces.
- Gaza ceasefire faces disputes over disarmament timing and Israeli withdrawal.
- Oil prices remain volatile, hovering around $100 per barrel.
FAQ
FAQ
Did Iraq have prior knowledge of the US-Saudi attacks?
No, Iraq has officially denied having any prior knowledge of the US-Saudi attacks on Houthi positions, emphasizing its non-involvement.
What is the current shipping situation in the Bab el-Mandeb strait?
On Thursday, 25 commodity vessels passed through the Bab el-Mandeb strait, with 18 entering and 7 exiting, showing a partial recovery from the Houthi blockade threat.
Why are oil prices above $100 a barrel?

Oil prices rose above $100 due to Houthi threats to blockade Saudi ships, which raised fears of supply disruptions in the Red Sea region.