The African National Congress (ANC) is on course to suffer a bruising defeat in South Africa's local elections, with the once-dominant party of Nelson Mandela falling to under a third of the vote nationally with more than 80% of ballots counted. This fragmented vote marks another stage in the decline of the ANC, which has led national governments since the end of white minority apartheid rule in 1994.
High unemployment, crime, corruption, and poor local service delivery have all contributed to voters turning away from the party. The former liberation movement is projected to lose its status as the biggest party in the two most populous provinces, Gauteng and KwaZulu-Natal, as parties began coalition negotiations behind closed doors. The final results are expected to be announced on Sunday.
ANC's National Vote Share Falls to 31.8%
The ANC was on 31.8% of the vote nationally, almost 14 percentage points below its 2021 local election result. This sharp decline underscores the party's waning popularity amid persistent challenges. The centre-right, white-led Democratic Alliance (DA) had 24.1% of the vote, while the uMkhonto weSizwe (MK) party of the former ANC president Jacob Zuma was on 9.3%.
Turnout also rose in Wednesday's poll. The election commission estimated that 54.5% of registered voters cast their ballot, up from 46% five years ago. This increased participation suggests a growing engagement among the electorate, possibly driven by dissatisfaction with the status quo.
Key Factors Behind the ANC's Decline
The ANC's decline can be attributed to a combination of long-standing issues. High unemployment, especially among the youth, has eroded confidence in the party's ability to deliver economic opportunities. Crime remains a significant concern, with many citizens feeling unsafe in their communities.
Corruption scandals have also plagued the ANC, tarnishing its reputation and leading to public distrust. Poor local service delivery, from inadequate housing to failing infrastructure, has further alienated voters who once believed in the party's promise of a better life for all.
- Unemployment remains a critical challenge, particularly affecting young people.
- Crime rates continue to worry citizens, impacting daily life.
- Corruption within the party has eroded public trust.
- Service delivery failures at the local level have frustrated communities.
- Coalition negotiations are underway as no party secures a majority.
Coalition Negotiations and Future Implications
With no party achieving an outright majority, coalition negotiations are taking place behind closed doors. The final shape of coalitions in some of the country's biggest cities remained unclear with the final votes still being counted. Senior figures in key parties have begun talks to form stable local governments.
The outcome of these negotiations will significantly impact governance in major urban centers. The DA's strong showing positions it as a key player in coalition talks, while the MK party's emergence adds another layer of complexity. The ANC, despite its losses, may still play a role in some coalitions, depending on local dynamics. The background to this story is set out in Data Centers Lose Big in US Local Elections: What It Means. A related thread runs through World's Largest Penguin Colony Suffers Enormous Population Crash. Earlier coverage in 2026 UK Local Elections Map Shows Labour Losses to Reform and Greens shows how the argument developed.
| Party | Vote Share (%) | Change from 2021 |
|---|---|---|
| ANC | 31.8 | -14 |
| DA | 24.1 | — |
| MK | 9.3 | — |
| Others | 34.8 | — |
What This Means for South Africa's Political Landscape
The ANC's decline signals a potential realignment of South African politics. The party's ability to govern effectively is now in question, and the rise of the DA and MK suggests a more competitive political environment. This could lead to more responsive governance as parties vie for public support. A closer look at the same subject appears in Kemi Badenoch Defends Ex-Neo-Nazi Candidate in UK Local Election. Anyone following the wider picture can start with Business: latest articles. The same theme surfaces in South Africa Elections: ANC Faces Voter Anger Over Poor Services, which takes a different angle.
However, coalition governments can be unstable, and the coming weeks will test the ability of parties to work together. The final results on Sunday will provide a clearer picture of the new political order. Context on how this played out before sits in US Voters Reject Datacenters at Polls in Midterm Elections.
FAQ
What was the ANC's vote share in the 2024 South African local elections?
With over 80% of ballots counted, the ANC stood at 31.8% nationally, a significant drop from its 2021 performance.
Why did the ANC lose support?
Voters turned away due to high unemployment, crime, corruption, and poor service delivery, which have plagued the party's tenure.
What happens next in the election process?
Coalition negotiations are underway, with final results expected on Sunday. The shape of local governments will depend on these talks.
How does voter turnout compare to previous elections?
Turnout rose to an estimated 54.5%, up from 46% in 2021, indicating increased civic engagement.
As South Africa awaits the final results, the political landscape is poised for change. The ANC's decline and the need for coalitions reflect a maturing democracy where voters demand accountability. For a deeper look at how votes are counted and when results are announced, see our guide on how votes are counted and when results are announced.