Trump's Ukraine Sellout Risk: Europe Must Unite Fast 2026

Trump's potential Ukraine sellout is a looming threat that Europe must urgently address. As the US president-elect appears poised to cut a deal with Vladimir Putin that could betray Ukraine and destabilize European security, European leaders are squabbling over representation in peace talks. This article examines the risks, the stakes for Europe, and what must happen next.

Trump's Power to Reshape Foreign Policy

Despite losing substantial influence over domestic policy after last week's midterm losses, Donald Trump retains considerable power to cement his legacy by upending US foreign policy. His ability to shape international relations remains largely intact, and there is every reason to fear a "great betrayal" of Ukraine in the coming weeks.

Such a betrayal would reward Vladimir Putin for Russia's war of aggression against Kyiv and do lasting damage to the European security order. Trump has said he is working with Moscow on a "big, beautiful deal" that is "going to involve more than Ukraine, and I could even say it might involve all of Europe."

Europe's Squabbling Leaders Risk Being Sidelined

European leaders are too busy squabbling over who should represent them in future peace talks to focus on how to prevent a sellout. Despite fundamental European interests being at stake in this week's three-way US-Russia-Ukraine negotiations in Abu Dhabi, Europe is relegated to a side room, represented by a posse of officials from the UK, France, Germany, the EU, and NATO.

This disunity is dangerous. Trump's seemingly Kremlin-friendly negotiator and son-in-law, Jared Kushner, says Trump has discussed with several European leaders the need for a "broader European security architecture that can help establish conditions for lasting peace." Strip away the rhetoric, and both appear to be talking about cutting a deal with Putin behind the backs of Volodymyr Zelenskyy and other European leaders to carve up eastern Europe.

The Stakes for European Security

The implications for European security are profound. A deal that rewards Putin's aggression would embolden Russia and undermine the post-Cold War security order. It would also send a dangerous signal to other authoritarian leaders that territorial conquest pays.

European leaders must set aside their differences and present a united front. They need to clearly communicate to the Trump administration that any deal must respect Ukraine's sovereignty and territorial integrity, and that Europe will not accept a fait accompli.

What Europe Must Do Now

First, European leaders must coordinate their response and speak with one voice. They should appoint a single high-level envoy to represent European interests in any negotiations. Second, they must increase diplomatic pressure on the US to ensure Ukraine is at the table. Third, they should bolster their own defense capabilities and reduce dependence on the US security umbrella.

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The Need for a Unified European Voice

Europe's fragmentation is a gift to those who would divide and conquer. The UK, France, and Germany must lead the way in forging a common position, but they cannot do it alone. Smaller EU member states must also be heard.

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What to Watch Next

Keep an eye on the Abu Dhabi talks and any subsequent meetings. Watch for signals from the Trump administration about the shape of the deal. And monitor European capitals for signs of unity or further division.

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FAQ

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