Australia Poll: Albanese Approval Drops to New Low 2026

The latest Guardian Essential poll reveals a significant shift in Australia's political landscape, with Prime Minister Anthony Albanese's approval rating dropping to a new low of 35%. The poll indicates Labor's primary vote has fallen to 26%, reflecting growing voter dissatisfaction.

Key Findings from the Guardian Essential Poll

The Guardian Essential poll, conducted among over 1,000 Australians, shows Labor's national primary vote has dropped five percentage points in a month, from 31% to 26%. This decline aligns with Albanese's lowest approval rating since becoming prime minister. The Coalition has gained ground, rising from 22% to 26%, while One Nation's support has slipped to 23%.

Essential Media's executive director, Peter Lewis, attributes Labor's decline to the debate around cutting net overseas migration. The government's handling of migration policy, including delays in broader changes, has impacted voter sentiment.

One Nation's Popularity Slips

Despite a win in the Secret Harbour byelection, One Nation's national primary vote has dropped five percentage points since May. The party now stands at 23%, down from a peak of 28%. This suggests that while localized victories occur, national support remains volatile.

Impact of Migration Policy on Voter Sentiment

The poll highlights that migration policy is a critical issue for Australian voters. Albanese's decision to overrule cuts to the refugee intake and delays in broader changes have fueled criticism. This has led to a decline in approval ratings and primary vote share.

Key Takeaways from the Poll

• Albanese's approval rating at 35% is the lowest since becoming PM.
• Labor's primary vote has dropped to 26%, tying with the Coalition.
• One Nation's national support has slipped to 23%.
• Migration policy debates are influencing voter preferences.

Analysis and Future Outlook

Political analysts suggest that the government needs to address migration concerns to regain voter trust. The upcoming weeks will be crucial as policy changes are expected from the home affairs minister, Tony Burke. The poll's margin of error is about 3%, indicating the race remains competitive.

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