Pauline Hanson's One Nation party has achieved a historic breakthrough in Australian politics, winning the Farrer byelection in New South Wales on Saturday. This marks the party's first-ever lower house seat at a federal election, with candidate David Farley securing a commanding victory over independent Michelle Milthorpe. The result sends shockwaves through the major parties, as the Coalition's combined primary vote collapsed to just 20%, while Farley captured over 40% of the vote.
Speaking to a jubilant crowd in Albury, Hanson declared that One Nation is now targeting Coalition and Labor seats across the country. “We’re coming after those other seats,” she said. “You are not going to be the forgotten people any more. We are proud Australians. We want our country back and that’s what One Nation is about.” Her victory speech resonated with voters who feel abandoned by the major parties, signaling a major shift in the political landscape.
What the Farrer Byelection Result Means for Australian Politics
The Farrer byelection was triggered by the resignation of former opposition leader Sussan Ley, who held the seat for the Liberal Party for over two decades. Historically, Farrer has been a safe Coalition seat for 76 years, making One Nation's win all the more significant. The loss further weakens Angus Taylor's leadership, as the Coalition struggles to maintain unity and relevance amid rising populist sentiment.
Political analysts note that One Nation's victory reflects a broader trend of voter disillusionment with traditional parties. According to recent opinion polls, One Nation's support has grown beyond 20% nationally, driven by concerns over cost of living, immigration, and energy policy. The party's platform includes ending net-zero emissions targets by 2050, reworking water policy, and extracting more revenue from gas exports.
Key Factors Behind One Nation's Victory
- Cost of living crisis: Farley made lowering living costs his top priority, resonating with voters struggling with inflation.
- Anti-establishment sentiment: Many Farrer residents felt ignored by the major parties, as independent candidate Milthorpe noted: “Communities like ours are sick of being taken for granted.”
- Collapsing Coalition vote: The Liberal and National parties combined for only 20% of the primary vote, a historic low for the seat.
How the Major Parties Are Responding
Liberal leader Angus Taylor acknowledged the defeat, saying the party must take “hard lessons” from the result. He criticized Labor’s renewable energy push and attacked “mass migration,” signaling a shift to the right. “For too long, we have been a party of convenience, not of conviction, and that must change,” Taylor said. Meanwhile, Nationals frontbencher Bridget McKenzie suggested the Coalition could work with One Nation on certain policies, raising the possibility of future alliances.
Labor did not contest the byelection, a decision that may have inadvertently boosted One Nation. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has yet to comment directly, but the result puts pressure on his government to address regional discontent. Independent candidate Milthorpe warned that the major parties face a “test” over the next two years to win back trust.
One Nation's Future Plans and Energy Policy
Hanson pledged to unveil a new energy policy focused on taxing gas exports more heavily and securing equity for Australian taxpayers in resource companies. This populist approach aims to redirect profits from multinational corporations to domestic needs. Farley described the party as “a mason with a chisel and a hammer, re-carving the letters into Australian democracy,” promising to break through the political ceiling.
The victory has energized One Nation’s base, with Hanson vowing to contest more seats at the next federal election. Political experts predict the party could win additional lower house seats in Queensland and Western Australia, where its message of economic nationalism and border control resonates strongly.
FAQ: Understanding the Farrer Byelection and One Nation's Rise
What is the Farrer byelection and why was it held?
The Farrer byelection was called after former Liberal MP Sussan Ley resigned. It took place on May 9, 2026, in the New South Wales electorate of Farrer, which had been held by the Coalition for 76 years.
How did One Nation win the seat?
One Nation candidate David Farley won over 40% of the primary vote, while the Coalition parties combined for only 20%. Independent Michelle Milthorpe came second with 28%, and Labor did not run a candidate. The result reflects widespread voter dissatisfaction with the major parties.
What does this mean for the next federal election?
One Nation's victory signals a potential realignment in Australian politics. The party is now targeting Coalition and Labor seats nationwide, and its growing support in opinion polls suggests it could win multiple lower house seats in 2027. The major parties will need to address issues like cost of living, immigration, and energy policy to regain trust.
