The Gaza recovery plan pursued by Donald Trump's Board of Peace has dramatically shrunk from an ambitious full reconstruction blueprint to a small pilot project in the southern strip, highlighting the immense challenges of post-conflict rebuilding.
The pilot scheme involves a temporary camp for a tiny fraction of Gaza's 2 million displaced people, with a Palestinian administration, police, and a small international security force. However, this limited initiative is not expected to take shape before the end of the year.
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Incremental Steps and International Forces
A few Moroccan and Kosovan officers have arrived in Israel, intended to form the kernel of an International Stabilization Force (ISF) tasked with protecting the pilot camp. A logistical base for this future force is nearing completion at the Kerem Shalom crossing between Israel and Gaza.
Despite these steps, preparatory work on the pilot camp near Rafah has not begun, nor has construction of the camp's ISF support base. Satellite images show disturbed earth but no new structures.
Political Hurdles and Ceasefire Violations
Substantial progress is not expected before Israel holds elections on 27 October, which could bring down Benjamin Netanyahu's far-right coalition government. Israel has routinely violated the Trump-brokered ceasefire since October, blocked reconstruction work, and severely limited humanitarian aid flows.
Western diplomats believe the best hope for progress is a new Israeli government, but it is unclear whether any successor coalition would be more flexible.
Comparison: Original Plan vs. Pilot Scheme
| Aspect | Original Plan | Pilot Scheme |
|---|---|---|
| Scope | Full Gaza reconstruction | Small camp near Rafah |
| Displaced people served | All 2 million | Fraction of 2 million |
| Security force | Large international force | Small ISF with Moroccan/Kosovan officers |
| Timeline | Immediate | End of year or later |
Key Takeaways
- Gaza recovery plan reduced to a tiny pilot camp due to political and logistical barriers.
- International Stabilization Force remains small with only a few officers deployed.
- Israeli elections in October could alter the political landscape.
- Ceasefire violations and aid restrictions continue to hinder progress.
- Diplomats fear admitting failure would empower extreme factions.
FAQ
What is the Gaza recovery plan under Trump's Board of Peace?
It was originally a full reconstruction blueprint for Gaza, but has been scaled back to a small pilot camp project in the south, involving temporary housing for displaced people and an international security force.
Why has the Gaza recovery plan been reduced?
Political hurdles, including Israel's far-right coalition government and repeated ceasefire violations, along with limited international support, forced the Board of Peace to pursue a smaller pilot scheme.
When will the pilot camp be operational?
Substantial progress is not expected before the end of 2025, and likely not until after Israeli elections on 27 October, which may change the government.
The Board of Peace has no choice but to make the most of limited progress, as an admission of failure could open the way for extreme factions in Israel with radically different plans for Gaza. As one diplomat noted, "The aim is just to keep something going, keep the ball in play."
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