Andy Burnham has refused to rule out including a reversal of Brexit in Labour's next manifesto, signalling a potential shift in the UK's relationship with the European Union. The prime minister's comments came as he prepared for his first meeting with European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen, where he emphasised rebuilding bridges with European allies.
Burnham's Stance on Brexit Reversal
In a statement to reporters en route to the UN general assembly in New York, Burnham said his immediate priority was to build on the good work of his predecessor Keir Starmer in rebuilding bridges with the EU. However, he did not rule out the possibility of a Brexit reversal being part of Labour's next election platform.
"Our focus at the moment is on a UK/EU summit which we hope will take place later this year," Burnham said. "My immediate priority is to build on the good work that Keir did in rebuilding bridges."
This stance puts Burnham under pressure from Labour MPs who opposed Brexit, who argue that rejoining the EU could provide a significant boost to economic growth. Yet Burnham's own constituency of Makerfield voted to leave, highlighting the political tightrope he must walk.
The Economic Impact of Brexit
Since Brexit, the UK has faced increased trade barriers with its largest trading partner. The Office for Budget Responsibility estimates that Brexit will reduce long-term productivity by around 4%. Businesses have struggled with customs checks, regulatory divergence, and reduced market access.
A potential reversal could mitigate some of these issues, but the path is fraught with complexity. Rejoining the EU would likely require accepting freedom of movement and other obligations that are politically sensitive.
Comparison of Brexit Scenarios
| Scenario | Trade Impact | Political Feasibility |
|---|---|---|
| Current Brexit Deal | Increased barriers, reduced GDP | Stable |
| Closer Trading Ties | Moderate improvement | High |
| Full Reversal (Rejoin) | Potential growth boost | Low |
Key Takeaways for Businesses
- Uncertainty persists: The possibility of a Brexit reversal adds to the already uncertain business environment.
- Focus on trade ties: Burnham's immediate priority is securing closer trading ties, which could ease some burdens.
- Political hurdles: Any reversal would face significant political opposition and complex negotiations.
- Growth potential: Rejoining could boost growth, but the timeline and terms are unclear.
What's Next for UK-EU Relations?
Burnham's meeting with von der Leyen is expected to cover the Northern Ireland Protocol, trade cooperation, and regulatory alignment. A UK/EU summit later this year could set the stage for deeper collaboration. However, ministers have privately expressed fears that the EU reset has lost momentum, and a summit may be delayed unless the bloc agrees to discuss legislation that could lock British businesses out of parts of EU industry.
For now, Burnham appears to be walking a fine line: sticking to Labour's red lines while keeping the door open to a future reversal. This balancing act will be closely watched by businesses and voters alike.
FAQ
What did Andy Burnham say about Brexit reversal?
Andy Burnham did not rule out including a reversal of Brexit in Labour's next manifesto, but said his immediate priority is rebuilding bridges with the EU and securing closer trading ties.
Why is Brexit reversal being considered?
Some Labour MPs argue that reversing Brexit could provide a significant boost to economic growth, as Brexit has increased trade barriers and reduced productivity.
What are the challenges of reversing Brexit?
Reversing Brexit would require complex negotiations, likely accepting freedom of movement, and overcoming significant political opposition. It would also take years to implement.
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