Ben Carroll is stepping into the role of Victorian Premier with a clear strategy: distance himself from the unpopularity of his predecessor, Jacinta Allan. As the state gears up for the next election, the question on everyone's mind is whether this shift in leadership can save Victorian Labor from electoral defeat.
The legacy of Jacinta Allan's tenure
Jacinta Allan inherited a government shaped by the polarising yet electorally successful Dan Andrews brand. Her failure to articulate a distinct vision left her tied to the Big Build agenda—a massive infrastructure program that included level crossing removals, the Suburban Rail Loop, and major road projects. While these projects were transformative, they also led to capacity constraints in construction, skilled labor shortages, and increased scrutiny on government spending.
Allan’s reliance on continuation rather than innovation meant she struggled to gain her own political identity. This lack of differentiation became a liability, especially as the Big Build’s costs and disruptions mounted. Ben Carroll now faces the challenge of rebuilding public trust while acknowledging the achievements of the previous administration.
Ben Carroll's strategy for differentiation
The new premier has already signaled a break from the past. For instance, he is unlikely to be seen in a North Face jacket—a near-uniform of Dan Andrews during the COVID-19 press conferences. Symbolic gestures aside, Carroll must pivot policy focus. Key elements of his strategy include:
- Refocusing on cost-of-living issues, such as housing affordability and energy prices
- Streamlining infrastructure projects to reduce government debt and construction delays
- Improving transparency in government contracts to address organised crime concerns
- Emphasising education and healthcare over megaprojects
These steps aim to create a distinct brand from Allan’s and Andrews’ approaches, but the effectiveness remains to be seen.
Comparison: Andrews vs. Allan vs. Carroll
| Leader | Key Policy Focus | Popularity at Exit | Electoral Success |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Andrews | Level crossing removals, COVID response | High (polarising) | Won 2014, 2018, 2022 |
| Jacinta Allan | Big Build, Metro Tunnel, Suburban Rail Loop | Low (unpopular) | Did not face election |
| Ben Carroll | Cost-of-living, transparency, smaller projects | Untested | Upcoming snap election |
The above comparison shows how Carroll is trying to chart a middle path—retaining some infrastructure momentum while addressing immediate public concerns. However, time is short. The election is likely within months, and overcoming the accumulated discontent will require rapid policy delivery.
Key takeaways for Victorian Labor
- Ben Carroll must quickly establish his own identity separate from both Andrews and Allan.
- Cost-of-living relief is the top priority for voters; infrastructure projects must take a back seat.
- Organised crime infiltration in the Big Build needs urgent action to restore public faith.
- Labor risks losing its working-class base if it fails to address housing and energy affordability.
- A strong contrast with the Liberal opposition (currently leading in polls) is essential for survival.
Challenges ahead
Even if Carroll successfully distances himself from Allan’s unpopularity, structural problems remain. The state’s debt has skyrocketed, and the construction industry is strained. Moreover, the opposition is likely to exploit every failing. The premier’s ability to communicate a clear, relatable vision over the next few weeks will determine whether Victorian Labor can avoid a catastrophic defeat.
FAQ
Why is Ben Carroll distancing himself from Jacinta Allan?
Can Ben Carroll save Victorian Labor in the upcoming election?
What was the Big Build and why did it become controversial?
How does Ben Carroll plan to differentiate himself from Dan Andrews?
In conclusion, Ben Carroll faces an uphill battle. His best chance lies in convincing Victorians that he is a fresh start—not just a continuation. Whether that message resonates will be known at the ballot box.