Labour has overtaken Reform UK in a voter intention poll for the first time since March 2025, as Andy Burnham capitalizes on early momentum as prime minister. The latest weekly tracker from More in Common shows Labour up four points to 28%, while Reform dropped two points to 24%.
Polling Surge Details
The survey, conducted by the nonprofit agency More in Common, reveals significant shifts across the political landscape. The Greens fell three points to 8%, while the Tories remained unchanged at 22% and the Liberal Democrats gained one point to 12%. This marks Labour’s highest vote share since early 2024.
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Andy Burnham’s First Week
In his first week as prime minister, Andy Burnham announced a series of high-profile policy initiatives and media appearances. Luke Tryl, UK director at More in Common, noted that “momentum is on the prime minister’s side” and that the focus on cost-of-living issues has appealed to voters on both the left and right.
Burnham responded cautiously, stating he would not get “carried away” but was pleased to have “connected with people.” He pledged to address youth unemployment, social care, and housing in the coming weeks.
Reform UK’s Declining Fortunes
Reform UK and its leader Nigel Farage have faced weeks of negative headlines regarding undeclared gifts and donations, an adviser linked to a convicted fraudster, and a chaotic byelection. Focus groups in Clacton, where Farage is campaigning for a seat, revealed growing anger, with constituents accusing him of using them as “pawns in his little game.”
Comparison of Vote Intentions (More in Common Poll)
| Party | Current % | Change from Previous Poll |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 28% | +4 |
| Reform UK | 24% | -2 |
| Conservatives | 22% | 0 |
| Liberal Democrats | 12% | +1 |
| Greens | 8% | -3 |
Key Takeaways
- Labour leads for the first time since March 2025, gaining four points to 28%.
- Reform UK falls to its lowest vote share in months, dropping to 24%.
- Andy Burnham’s early focus on cost-of-living issues resonates with lost voters.
- Nigel Farage faces backlash in Clacton byelection campaign.
- More in Common poll highlights a fragmented political landscape.
FAQ
What caused Labour to overtake Reform UK in the poll?
Labour’s surge is attributed to Andy Burnham’s strong first week as prime minister, including high-profile policy announcements and a focus on cost-of-living issues, while Reform UK suffered negative headlines.
Is this poll a reliable indicator of future election results?
The More in Common poll is a snapshot of current voter intention. While it shows momentum for Labour, pollsters caution that it is just one data point and the political landscape can shift rapidly.
What are the next steps for Andy Burnham and Labour?
Burnham plans to address youth unemployment, social care, and housing in the coming weeks, aiming to solidify support and maintain momentum ahead of future elections.
The political landscape remains highly competitive, with Labour’s rise signaling a potential realignment. As Burnham continues to connect with voters, all parties will be watching the next polls closely.
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