Restoring the deteriorating health of the UK population to 2014 levels could boost GDP by 2%, according to a new report from the Health Foundation thinktank. The study highlights that better health is not just a social good but a critical economic asset, with potential to unlock £57bn in economic output and generate a £72bn dividend for public finances.
Healthy life expectancy in the UK fell by two years in the decade to 2022-24, making the UK one of only five of the world’s 21 richest countries to see a decline. Over the same period, the number of working-age people with a long-term health condition surged from 11.7 million to 15.7 million. This rising ill health adds pressure on NHS spending and disability benefits, while also reducing tax revenue and economic productivity.
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How Health Drives Economic Growth
The Health Foundation’s paper argues that good health enables people to live well longer and contribute to their communities, building a stronger society. A healthy labour force is the engine of the economy, determining participation in employment, work effectiveness, and how long people remain in the labour market. The report calls on policymakers to treat health as a strategic economic asset.
Key Findings from the Report
- Restoring working-age health to 2014 levels could increase economic output by £57bn, or 2% of GDP.
- Public finances could see a £72bn boost through stronger tax revenues and reduced spending on social security and the NHS.
- People in the richest 10% of areas enjoy up to 20 more years of good health compared to the poorest 10%.
Comparison Table: Health and Economic Impact
| Metric | 2014 Levels | Current (2022-24) | Potential Gain |
|---|---|---|---|
| Healthy life expectancy change | Baseline | -2 years | +2 years |
| Working-age with long-term health conditions | 11.7 million | 15.7 million | Reduction of 4 million |
| GDP impact | N/A | N/A | +£57bn (2% of GDP) |
| Public finance dividend | N/A | N/A | +£72bn |
The stark inequalities highlighted in the report show that health disparities are deeply rooted in socioeconomic factors. David Finch, interim director of health and inequalities at the Health Foundation, emphasized: “Improving health is essential to deliver good growth in every postcode on which the incoming government’s ambitions will depend.”
Policy Implications
Addressing the decline in population health requires a multi-faceted approach, including investments in preventive care, reducing health inequalities, and supporting those with long-term conditions to remain in the workforce. The report suggests that restoring health could be a cornerstone of economic recovery and long-term prosperity.