Labour members hold tougher views on welfare than expected, according to a new poll, with 47% believing the government spends too much on benefits. The survey of 788 members reveals a party that prioritises health, economy, and climate, while showing surprising scepticism toward increased welfare spending.
Key Findings on Welfare and Taxation
The poll, conducted by ThinkLabour between late June and late July, shows that only 21% of members think the government does not spend enough on welfare. When asked about funding the current welfare bill, 52% said taxes should be raised, with 70% preferring that only high earners face increases.
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This contrasts with the public perception of Labour as a party favouring generous welfare. The internal rows within the parliamentary party on welfare spending are reflected in these numbers, suggesting a more fiscally conservative membership than often assumed.
Defence and Social Care Spending
On defence, 68% of members want Britain to spend more, with 61% of those supporting higher taxes to fund it. Social care also garners strong support, with 73% backing increased spending through taxes on higher earners or general taxation.
These findings indicate a membership that is willing to pay for key priorities but is cautious about expanding welfare without clear funding sources.
Leadership and Internal Dynamics
Three-quarters of members backed Keir Starmer in the 2020 leadership contest. However, a separate poll before the local elections showed Andy Burnham with a net favourability of 72% among members, suggesting he would be a strong contender if a leadership race occurred.
Burnham won the leadership unopposed within the parliamentary party, so no member vote was required. The data is likely to be watched closely by government officials and party strategists.
Comparison Table: Member Priorities vs. Public Perception
| Issue | Labour Members (%) | Public Perception |
|---|---|---|
| Health | 43% | High priority |
| Economy | 42% | High priority |
| Cost of living | 39% | High priority |
| Climate change | 29% | Moderate priority |
| Welfare benefits | 7% | Low priority |
| Immigration | 6% | Low priority |
Key Takeaways
- Labour members are more sceptical about welfare spending than commonly believed.
- Tax increases, especially on high earners, are preferred to fund current welfare.
- Defence and social care spending are strong priorities among members.
- Andy Burnham enjoys high favourability, potentially positioning him for future leadership.